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Red77
501915.2
306127.6
478616.2
Blue43
372312.7
462416.3
369216.5
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions543902060801007743

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3061
#18
27.60.9
22.123.0
Auto5.7
Teleop15.9
End5.9
red by 11.0
3692
#19
16.50.3
13.914.1
Auto4.3
Teleop9.4
End2.8
Second
4786
#23
16.20.8
15.316.1
Auto5.6
Teleop5.2
End5.5
blue by 0.1
4624
#26
16.30.3
12.913.1
Auto4.8
Teleop8.9
End2.6
Third
5019
#35
15.20.9
14.115.1
Auto5.2
Teleop6.2
End3.7
red by 2.5
3723
#50
12.70.4
9.810.2
Auto5.0
Teleop4.5
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
38%HAB Docking oddsEarned20%HAB Docking oddsMissed