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Red86
109117.4
248130.1
597617.1
Blue59
642119.1
282630.1
743216.2
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions62662040801008659

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.11.8
24.426.2
Auto4.7
Teleop20.1
End5.2
Level
30.10.3
31.531.2
Auto4.3
Teleop16.9
End9.0
Second
1091
#24
17.41.8
18.620.4
Auto4.8
Teleop8.1
End4.5
blue by 1.7
6421
#15
19.10.3
18.618.3
Auto3.2
Teleop11.0
End4.9
Third
5976
#11
17.13.0
15.818.8
Auto3.4
Teleop7.1
End6.6
red by 0.9
7432
#32
16.20.3
12.912.6
Auto3.3
Teleop10.9
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
8%Rocket oddsEarned4%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
46%HAB Docking oddsEarned61%HAB Docking oddsEarned