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Red61
16720.2
641213.0
64815.3
Blue26
266714.1
372312.7
76299.7
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4339102030506070806126

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
167
#6
20.21.3
17.118.4
Auto3.4
Teleop14.4
End2.4
red by 6.1
2667
#49
14.11.2
13.212.0
Auto4.5
Teleop7.1
End2.5
Second
648
#25
15.31.3
13.314.7
Auto4.1
Teleop7.5
End3.7
red by 2.6
3723
#50
12.71.2
10.29.0
Auto5.0
Teleop4.5
End3.2
Third
6412
#52
13.02.2
10.712.9
Auto3.4
Teleop7.9
End1.7
red by 3.3
7629
#42
9.71.2
13.612.4
Auto4.0
Teleop2.7
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsEarned2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
15%HAB Docking oddsMissed19%HAB Docking oddsMissed