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Red99
335221.5
198633.1
17119.4
Blue49
401116.6
402118.7
663018.1
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions675830405080901009949

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.11.7
31.232.9
Auto4.1
Teleop17.0
End12.0
red by 14.4
4021
#33
18.70.4
18.718.3
Auto4.6
Teleop11.9
End2.2
Second
3352
#29
21.51.7
17.218.9
Auto5.1
Teleop13.1
End3.4
red by 3.4
6630
#27
18.10.4
19.218.9
Auto4.3
Teleop7.2
End6.6
Third
171
#12
19.41.7
14.916.6
Auto5.0
Teleop10.1
End4.3
red by 2.8
4011
#46
16.60.6
16.616.0
Auto4.6
Teleop9.2
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
4%Rocket oddsEarned3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
68%HAB Docking oddsEarned22%HAB Docking oddsMissed