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Red60
369216.5
219427.3
76299.7
Blue40
429618.8
500311.9
642119.1
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions55502030406070806040

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.30.5
26.126.6
Auto3.2
Teleop15.2
End8.8
red by 8.1
6421
#15
19.10.5
18.918.4
Auto3.2
Teleop11.0
End4.9
Second
3692
#19
16.50.5
13.814.3
Auto4.3
Teleop9.4
End2.8
blue by 2.2
4296
#30
18.80.5
14.514.1
Auto4.9
Teleop10.1
End3.8
Third
7629
#42
9.70.9
12.413.3
Auto4.0
Teleop2.7
End2.9
blue by 2.2
5003
#34
11.90.8
13.712.9
Auto3.4
Teleop5.6
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed4%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
67%HAB Docking oddsEarned19%HAB Docking oddsMissed