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Red77
642016.2
544221.2
335221.5
Blue51
641213.0
61666.6
306127.6
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions54514060707751

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3352
#29
21.51.4
18.920.3
Auto5.1
Teleop13.1
End3.4
blue by 6.0
3061
#18
27.60.2
25.325.5
Auto5.7
Teleop15.9
End5.9
Second
21.21.4
17.218.6
Auto3.9
Teleop9.7
End7.5
red by 8.2
6412
#52
13.00.3
14.514.8
Auto3.4
Teleop7.9
End1.7
Third
6420
#45
16.21.4
14.615.9
Auto5.4
Teleop8.3
End2.5
red by 9.6
6166
#54
6.60.2
8.48.6
Auto3.0
Teleop1.5
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed4%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
40%HAB Docking oddsEarned15%HAB Docking oddsMissed