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Red47
663018.1
500311.9
109117.4
Blue76
590321.3
642016.2
233823.4
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions546402040801001204776

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6630
#27
18.10.3
19.018.8
Auto4.3
Teleop7.2
End6.6
blue by 5.3
23.40.4
23.023.4
Auto3.6
Teleop14.1
End5.7
Second
1091
#24
17.40.3
18.718.4
Auto4.8
Teleop8.1
End4.5
blue by 3.9
5903
#14
21.30.4
21.922.3
Auto3.5
Teleop12.6
End5.2
Third
5003
#34
11.90.4
13.212.7
Auto3.4
Teleop5.6
End2.8
blue by 4.3
6420
#45
16.20.4
15.916.3
Auto5.4
Teleop8.3
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
5%Rocket oddsMissed6%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
43%HAB Docking oddsMissed53%HAB Docking oddsEarned