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Red70
401116.6
219427.3
533912.9
Blue65
465527.9
309015.8
208121.6
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5866203040507080901007065

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.30.8
27.228.1
Auto3.2
Teleop15.2
End8.8
blue by 0.7
4655
#13
27.90.2
26.626.3
Auto5.5
Teleop13.3
End9.1
Second
4011
#46
16.61.3
15.016.3
Auto4.6
Teleop9.2
End2.8
blue by 5.0
2081
#38
21.60.2
21.321.1
Auto5.2
Teleop9.9
End6.5
Third
5339
#41
12.91.3
12.413.7
Auto4.8
Teleop5.5
End2.6
blue by 2.9
3090
#17
15.80.4
14.814.4
Auto3.6
Teleop9.0
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
4%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
40%HAB Docking oddsEarned93%HAB Docking oddsMissed