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Red76
500311.9
702126.0
198633.1
Blue72
162522.3
17119.4
597617.1
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions796020401007672

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.10.1
34.834.7
Auto4.1
Teleop17.0
End12.0
red by 10.8
22.30.6
22.323.0
Auto5.6
Teleop10.3
End6.4
Second
7021
#21
26.00.1
26.025.9
Auto3.9
Teleop14.1
End8.0
red by 6.6
171
#12
19.40.6
17.217.8
Auto5.0
Teleop10.1
End4.3
Third
5003
#34
11.90.1
13.613.5
Auto3.4
Teleop5.6
End2.8
blue by 5.2
5976
#11
17.10.9
17.218.1
Auto3.4
Teleop7.1
End6.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
9%Rocket oddsMissed7%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
97%HAB Docking oddsEarned47%HAB Docking oddsEarned