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Red42
642016.2
25319.5
266714.1
Blue57
405414.7
481817.1
429618.8
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4145102030506070804257

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6420
#45
16.20.2
16.416.6
Auto5.4
Teleop8.3
End2.5
blue by 2.6
4296
#30
18.80.9
16.217.1
Auto4.9
Teleop10.1
End3.8
Second
2667
#49
14.10.3
12.713.0
Auto4.5
Teleop7.1
End2.5
blue by 3.1
4818
#48
17.10.9
15.416.3
Auto5.2
Teleop9.6
End2.3
Third
2531
#51
9.50.2
9.49.6
Auto3.6
Teleop3.2
End2.7
blue by 5.2
4054
#20
14.71.3
11.412.8
Auto3.5
Teleop6.9
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
5%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
14%HAB Docking oddsMissed13%HAB Docking oddsMissed