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Red50
306127.6
704812.5
75968.4
Blue62
309015.8
642119.1
76299.7
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions564220805062

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3061
#18
27.60.4
27.827.4
Auto5.7
Teleop15.9
End5.9
red by 8.5
6421
#15
19.10.8
17.518.3
Auto3.2
Teleop11.0
End4.9
Second
7048
#40
12.50.4
14.914.4
Auto5.5
Teleop4.0
End3.0
blue by 3.3
3090
#17
15.81.2
14.415.6
Auto3.6
Teleop9.0
End3.2
Third
7596
#53
8.40.6
10.710.1
Auto3.2
Teleop4.2
End1.1
blue by 1.3
7629
#42
9.71.2
7.68.8
Auto4.0
Teleop2.7
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
35%HAB Docking oddsMissed25%HAB Docking oddsEarned