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Red65
590321.3
64815.3
219427.3
Blue53
597617.1
61666.6
198633.1
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions69642040801006553

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.30.0
28.528.5
Auto3.2
Teleop15.2
End8.8
blue by 5.8
33.11.2
34.733.5
Auto4.1
Teleop17.0
End12.0
Second
5903
#14
21.30.0
21.421.4
Auto3.5
Teleop12.6
End5.2
red by 4.2
5976
#11
17.11.6
18.116.5
Auto3.4
Teleop7.1
End6.6
Third
648
#25
15.30.0
15.315.3
Auto4.1
Teleop7.5
End3.7
red by 8.7
6166
#54
6.61.2
7.76.6
Auto3.0
Teleop1.5
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
5%Rocket oddsMissed6%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
82%HAB Docking oddsEarned91%HAB Docking oddsEarned