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Red64
202223.4
125931.1
583711.4
Blue66
179221.9
514818.7
341816.1
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions64451020304050607080906466

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1259
#11
31.10.3
27.527.8
Auto5.7
Teleop20.9
End4.5
red by 9.3
21.91.9
15.217.0
Auto4.3
Teleop10.1
End7.5
Second
2022
#23
23.40.2
19.619.9
Auto5.7
Teleop14.6
End3.0
red by 4.7
5148
#26
18.71.9
12.714.6
Auto3.5
Teleop10.2
End5.1
Third
5837
#50
11.40.3
13.313.6
Auto3.0
Teleop5.5
End2.9
blue by 4.8
3418
#41
16.12.6
14.917.5
Auto5.2
Teleop7.6
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
4%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
16%HAB Docking oddsMissed29%HAB Docking oddsEarned