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Red27
66433.4
109118.7
220217.7
Blue43
583711.4
791513.1
480417.3
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions46360204060802743

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1091
#18
18.71.8
17.715.9
Auto4.4
Teleop9.6
End4.6
red by 1.4
4804
#19
17.31.0
12.813.9
Auto4.3
Teleop7.9
End5.1
Second
2202
#39
17.71.1
17.416.3
Auto4.6
Teleop11.0
End2.1
red by 4.6
7915
#37
13.11.0
9.110.1
Auto4.4
Teleop5.8
End2.9
Third
6643
#53
3.41.8
8.16.3
Auto2.4
Teleop-0.4
End1.4
blue by 8.0
5837
#50
11.40.6
11.812.4
Auto3.0
Teleop5.5
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
12%HAB Docking oddsMissed14%HAB Docking oddsMissed