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Red36
667013.6
790010.4
512514.7
Blue72
171018.8
338112.3
53715.5
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions33491020406070803672

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5125
#31
14.70.3
13.513.8
Auto5.4
Teleop6.7
End2.6
blue by 4.1
1710
#14
18.80.2
19.819.6
Auto2.7
Teleop14.2
End1.9
Second
6670
#36
13.60.6
10.711.3
Auto4.4
Teleop6.7
End2.4
blue by 1.9
537
#16
15.50.2
13.913.7
Auto3.1
Teleop8.4
End3.9
Third
7900
#20
10.40.6
6.87.4
Auto3.3
Teleop5.1
End2.0
blue by 1.9
3381
#30
12.30.2
12.612.4
Auto4.1
Teleop6.3
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
9%HAB Docking oddsMissed37%HAB Docking oddsMissed