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Red57
179221.9
53715.5
480417.3
Blue51
622312.8
283020.9
171411.5
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions514310203060705751

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.90.4
18.518.9
Auto4.3
Teleop10.1
End7.5
red by 1.0
2830
#33
20.90.7
17.217.8
Auto5.2
Teleop12.6
End3.2
Second
4804
#19
17.30.7
15.916.6
Auto4.3
Teleop7.9
End5.1
red by 4.5
6223
#32
12.81.1
13.514.6
Auto3.5
Teleop6.0
End3.2
Third
537
#16
15.50.4
13.714.1
Auto3.1
Teleop8.4
End3.9
red by 4.0
1714
#45
11.51.1
10.111.2
Auto4.4
Teleop5.5
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
40%HAB Docking oddsEarned10%HAB Docking oddsMissed