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Red46
207719.1
27913.5
66433.4
Blue61
341816.1
741719.9
171018.8
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions415820804661

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2077
#35
19.10.1
18.718.6
Auto3.7
Teleop12.8
End2.6
blue by 0.7
7417
#51
19.90.4
19.720.1
Auto3.2
Teleop13.9
End2.8
Second
279
#44
13.50.1
14.214.1
Auto4.8
Teleop3.1
End5.5
blue by 5.4
1710
#14
18.80.4
19.620.0
Auto2.7
Teleop14.2
End1.9
Third
6643
#53
3.40.2
6.05.8
Auto2.4
Teleop-0.4
End1.4
blue by 12.8
3418
#41
16.10.7
15.716.4
Auto5.2
Teleop7.6
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
27%HAB Docking oddsEarned23%HAB Docking oddsMissed