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Red94
558612.9
657423.3
93034.2
Blue22
743212.7
42478.7
680710.5
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6533204060809422

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
930
#1
34.20.3
30.931.2
Auto3.6
Teleop24.2
End6.5
red by 21.5
7432
#43
12.71.1
10.79.7
Auto3.1
Teleop6.2
End3.4
Second
23.30.3
18.618.9
Auto4.8
Teleop12.6
End5.9
red by 12.8
6807
#34
10.51.1
12.311.2
Auto3.1
Teleop4.8
End2.7
Third
5586
#22
12.90.3
12.112.4
Auto3.0
Teleop6.1
End3.7
red by 4.1
4247
#49
8.71.1
8.57.5
Auto2.6
Teleop4.9
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
15%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
69%HAB Docking oddsEarned13%HAB Docking oddsMissed