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Red30
27913.5
171411.5
338112.3
Blue26
642117.0
558612.9
50968.4
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions39393035453026

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
279
#44
13.50.5
14.113.6
Auto4.8
Teleop3.1
End5.5
blue by 3.6
6421
#28
17.01.2
14.613.3
Auto3.4
Teleop10.3
End3.2
Second
3381
#30
12.30.5
12.011.5
Auto4.1
Teleop6.3
End1.9
blue by 0.5
5586
#22
12.90.7
12.411.7
Auto3.0
Teleop6.1
End3.7
Third
1714
#45
11.50.8
11.210.4
Auto4.4
Teleop5.5
End1.5
red by 3.1
5096
#52
8.41.2
10.08.8
Auto2.9
Teleop3.3
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
41%HAB Docking oddsMissed40%HAB Docking oddsMissed