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Red65
167515.7
319725.8
790010.4
Blue32
369213.4
220217.7
171611.3
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions45381020305060706532

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.81.5
20.421.9
Auto3.5
Teleop15.2
End7.1
red by 8.1
2202
#39
17.70.3
15.715.4
Auto4.6
Teleop11.0
End2.1
Second
1675
#46
15.71.5
15.617.0
Auto4.9
Teleop8.3
End2.5
red by 2.3
3692
#40
13.40.4
9.69.1
Auto3.7
Teleop8.0
End1.8
Third
7900
#20
10.42.5
6.89.3
Auto3.3
Teleop5.1
End2.0
blue by 0.9
1716
#54
11.30.4
10.710.2
Auto3.9
Teleop5.2
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
24%HAB Docking oddsEarned10%HAB Docking oddsMissed