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Red38
680710.5
219423.4
167515.7
Blue49
42478.7
710313.7
512514.7
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions53412030506070803849

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2194
#27
23.41.4
21.119.7
Auto3.0
Teleop12.7
End7.7
red by 8.7
5125
#31
14.70.7
15.015.6
Auto5.4
Teleop6.7
End2.6
Second
1675
#46
15.70.8
17.016.2
Auto4.9
Teleop8.3
End2.5
red by 2.0
7103
#48
13.70.7
16.417.1
Auto2.8
Teleop7.6
End3.4
Third
6807
#34
10.51.3
12.311.0
Auto3.1
Teleop4.8
End2.7
red by 1.8
4247
#49
8.71.1
7.58.6
Auto2.6
Teleop4.9
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
49%HAB Docking oddsEarned17%HAB Docking oddsMissed