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Red50
50968.4
219423.4
790010.4
Blue40
680710.5
514818.7
791513.1
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4443102030506070805040

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2194
#27
23.40.2
21.721.9
Auto3.0
Teleop12.7
End7.7
red by 4.8
5148
#26
18.70.0
16.216.1
Auto3.5
Teleop10.2
End5.1
Second
7900
#20
10.40.2
10.811.1
Auto3.3
Teleop5.1
End2.0
blue by 2.7
7915
#37
13.10.0
13.413.3
Auto4.4
Teleop5.8
End2.9
Third
5096
#52
8.40.2
9.29.4
Auto2.9
Teleop3.3
End2.1
blue by 2.2
6807
#34
10.50.0
11.010.9
Auto3.1
Teleop4.8
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
51%HAB Docking oddsEarned37%HAB Docking oddsMissed