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Red33
512514.7
583711.4
680710.5
Blue60
642117.0
103817.4
667013.6
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions404702060803360

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5125
#31
14.70.3
15.114.7
Auto5.4
Teleop6.7
End2.6
blue by 2.6
1038
#17
17.40.8
16.417.2
Auto5.2
Teleop9.3
End2.9
Second
5837
#50
11.40.3
11.711.4
Auto3.0
Teleop5.5
End2.9
blue by 5.6
6421
#28
17.01.1
15.917.0
Auto3.4
Teleop10.3
End3.2
Third
6807
#34
10.50.4
10.910.5
Auto3.1
Teleop4.8
End2.7
blue by 3.0
6670
#36
13.61.1
12.513.6
Auto4.4
Teleop6.7
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
15%HAB Docking oddsMissed11%HAB Docking oddsMissed