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Red39
99916.0
314625.8
715311.9
Blue47
206724.7
15516.4
352515.0
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions575901001503947

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.80.0
25.825.8
Auto5.1
Teleop14.6
End6.1
red by 1.1
24.70.0
24.724.7
Auto4.2
Teleop12.0
End8.5
Second
999
#24
16.00.0
16.016.0
Auto4.6
Teleop6.8
End4.6
blue by 0.4
155
#21
16.40.0
16.416.4
Auto3.9
Teleop9.9
End2.6
Third
7153
#13
11.90.0
11.911.9
Auto3.8
Teleop4.8
End3.3
blue by 3.2
3525
#17
15.00.0
15.015.0
Auto4.2
Teleop8.3
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
7%Rocket odds2%Rocket odds
HAB Docking
67%HAB Docking odds73%HAB Docking odds