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Red87
178730.5
402829.4
751513.4
Blue66
693623.3
15622.5
326618.7
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions76684060801008766

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.50.3
29.930.2
Auto5.4
Teleop20.6
End4.5
red by 7.2
6936
#14
23.30.0
23.323.3
Auto3.9
Teleop17.2
End2.3
Second
29.40.3
28.729.1
Auto4.1
Teleop17.5
End7.8
red by 6.9
156
#8
22.50.0
22.522.5
Auto4.9
Teleop12.5
End5.1
Third
7515
#27
13.40.3
13.113.4
Auto4.1
Teleop4.8
End4.5
blue by 5.4
3266
#15
18.70.0
18.718.7
Auto3.6
Teleop11.8
End3.4