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Red71
566728.2
581119.7
12018.5
Blue68
332427.3
350420.7
426916.8
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions716940506080901001107168

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.20.0
28.428.3
Auto3.5
Teleop21.5
End3.2
red by 0.9
3324
#10
27.30.1
27.427.5
Auto4.4
Teleop18.0
End5.0
Second
5811
#31
19.70.0
19.819.8
Auto3.7
Teleop13.9
End2.1
blue by 1.0
20.70.1
20.820.9
Auto4.9
Teleop6.7
End9.1
Third
120
#20
18.50.0
18.618.6
Auto4.0
Teleop11.6
End2.9
red by 1.7
4269
#23
16.80.1
16.917.0
Auto5.1
Teleop9.0
End2.7