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Red84
350420.7
313820.5
348417.4
Blue61
408520.5
178730.5
415021.2
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions628020401008461

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.71.7
19.321.0
Auto4.9
Teleop6.7
End9.1
blue by 9.8
30.51.0
30.429.4
Auto5.4
Teleop20.6
End4.5
Second
3138
#25
20.51.7
21.322.9
Auto5.1
Teleop11.0
End4.4
blue by 0.7
4150
#17
21.21.0
24.123.1
Auto4.2
Teleop14.3
End2.7
Third
3484
#19
17.41.7
18.520.2
Auto2.8
Teleop11.9
End2.6
blue by 3.2
4085
#24
20.51.0
21.520.5
Auto4.7
Teleop10.2
End5.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed6%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
72%HAB Docking oddsEarned53%HAB Docking oddsMissed