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Red54
348417.4
14426.4
566728.2
Blue44
426916.8
748612.9
581119.7
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions776120401005444

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.21.3
27.626.3
Auto3.5
Teleop21.5
End3.2
red by 8.5
5811
#31
19.70.9
24.323.4
Auto3.7
Teleop13.9
End2.1
Second
144
#5
26.41.3
25.524.3
Auto4.9
Teleop16.1
End5.5
red by 9.7
4269
#23
16.80.9
17.116.1
Auto5.1
Teleop9.0
End2.7
Third
3484
#19
17.41.3
19.718.5
Auto2.8
Teleop11.9
End2.6
red by 4.4
7486
#18
12.91.3
16.515.1
Auto2.7
Teleop6.9
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
6%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
19%HAB Docking oddsMissed14%HAB Docking oddsMissed