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Red58
76709.5
33719.6
11720.7
Blue59
326618.7
408520.5
12018.5
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions566302040801005859

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
117
#28
20.70.4
21.121.6
Auto3.9
Teleop11.5
End5.4
red by 0.2
4085
#24
20.50.1
21.821.7
Auto4.7
Teleop10.2
End5.6
Second
337
#12
19.60.3
19.619.9
Auto4.6
Teleop9.9
End5.2
red by 0.9
3266
#15
18.70.1
19.219.1
Auto3.6
Teleop11.8
End3.4
Third
7670
#32
9.50.5
12.212.7
Auto4.5
Teleop2.7
End2.3
blue by 9.0
120
#20
18.50.1
18.918.9
Auto4.0
Teleop11.6
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed10%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
40%HAB Docking oddsEarned59%HAB Docking oddsMissed