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Red78
4825.7
170823.6
348417.4
Blue54
14426.4
414516.8
33719.6
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7168204060801001207854

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
48
#9
25.70.2
25.826.0
Auto5.3
Teleop13.7
End6.7
blue by 0.7
144
#5
26.40.3
26.826.5
Auto4.9
Teleop16.1
End5.5
Second
1708
#26
23.60.2
23.924.0
Auto5.0
Teleop13.8
End4.9
red by 4.0
337
#12
19.60.3
20.019.7
Auto4.6
Teleop9.9
End5.2
Third
3484
#19
17.40.2
17.517.7
Auto2.8
Teleop11.9
End2.6
red by 0.6
4145
#13
16.80.3
17.116.8
Auto5.2
Teleop6.9
End4.6