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Red46
164031.1
695213.9
911210.1
Blue9
911110.1
551515.9
694913.0
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions584102080100120140469

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1640
#11
31.10.0
31.131.1
Auto5.4
Teleop19.3
End6.4
red by 15.1
5515
#29
15.90.0
15.915.9
Auto4.8
Teleop9.3
End1.8
Second
6952
#18
13.90.0
13.913.9
Auto3.7
Teleop6.7
End3.5
red by 0.9
6949
#39
13.00.0
13.013.0
Auto3.5
Teleop6.3
End3.3
Third
9112
#54
10.10.0
10.110.1
Auto2.7
Teleop4.8
End2.5
Level
9111
#69
10.10.0
10.110.1
Auto2.7
Teleop4.8
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
6%Rocket odds2%Rocket odds
HAB Docking
52%HAB Docking odds17%HAB Docking odds