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Red49
709512.7
911510.1
752220.6
Blue26
648717.5
700212.6
682714.2
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions464630405060704926

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.60.0
20.620.6
Auto3.2
Teleop13.9
End3.6
red by 3.1
6487
#38
17.50.0
17.517.5
Auto3.8
Teleop8.8
End5.0
Second
12.70.0
12.712.7
Auto3.4
Teleop6.1
End3.2
blue by 1.4
6827
#68
14.20.0
14.214.2
Auto3.8
Teleop6.8
End3.6
Third
9115
#42
10.10.0
10.110.1
Auto2.7
Teleop4.8
End2.5
blue by 2.5
7002
#59
12.60.0
12.612.6
Auto3.4
Teleop6.1
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket odds2%Rocket odds
HAB Docking
30%HAB Docking odds43%HAB Docking odds