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Red64
697016.4
544510.8
709512.7
Blue30
672610.1
694913.0
75889.8
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions423502060801006430

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6970
#22
16.40.0
16.416.4
Auto3.4
Teleop9.6
End3.4
red by 3.4
6949
#39
13.00.0
13.013.0
Auto3.5
Teleop6.3
End3.3
Second
12.70.0
12.712.7
Auto3.4
Teleop6.1
End3.2
red by 2.7
6726
#63
10.10.0
10.110.1
Auto2.7
Teleop4.8
End2.5
Third
5445
#16
10.80.0
10.810.8
Auto2.9
Teleop5.2
End2.7
red by 1.1
7588
#31
9.80.0
9.89.8
Auto3.3
Teleop5.0
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket odds2%Rocket odds
HAB Docking
17%HAB Docking odds15%HAB Docking odds