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Red68
545315.4
638618.6
694121.1
Blue79
630426.3
714611.1
680323.7
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions586402040801001206879

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6941
#13
21.10.0
21.121.1
Auto2.9
Teleop15.7
End2.5
blue by 5.2
26.30.0
26.326.3
Auto5.2
Teleop15.8
End5.3
Second
6386
#23
18.60.0
18.618.6
Auto3.4
Teleop6.8
End8.4
blue by 5.1
6803
#15
23.70.0
23.723.7
Auto3.7
Teleop11.8
End8.1
Third
5453
#53
15.40.0
15.415.4
Auto3.4
Teleop10.4
End1.6
red by 4.3
7146
#19
11.10.0
11.111.1
Auto3.7
Teleop4.6
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket odds3%Rocket odds
HAB Docking
30%HAB Docking odds74%HAB Docking odds