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Red36
759113.5
560210.1
648717.5
Blue18
635313.0
694612.5
708013.2
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions434102060801003618

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6487
#38
17.50.0
17.517.5
Auto3.8
Teleop8.8
End5.0
red by 4.3
7080
#32
13.20.0
13.213.2
Auto3.5
Teleop6.3
End3.3
Second
7591
#27
13.50.0
13.513.5
Auto3.3
Teleop6.8
End3.4
red by 0.6
6353
#50
13.00.0
13.013.0
Auto4.2
Teleop5.7
End3.0
Third
5602
#43
10.10.0
10.110.1
Auto2.7
Teleop4.8
End2.5
blue by 2.4
6946
#33
12.50.0
12.512.5
Auto3.4
Teleop6.0
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket odds2%Rocket odds
HAB Docking
42%HAB Docking odds14%HAB Docking odds