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Red73
544916.9
635313.0
545123.8
Blue58
638618.6
911110.1
990010.1
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5741020801007358

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.80.0
23.823.8
Auto3.8
Teleop12.5
End7.5
red by 5.2
6386
#23
18.60.0
18.618.6
Auto3.4
Teleop6.8
End8.4
Second
5449
#36
16.90.0
16.916.9
Auto3.1
Teleop7.4
End6.4
red by 6.8
9111
#69
10.10.0
10.110.1
Auto2.7
Teleop4.8
End2.5
Third
6353
#50
13.00.0
13.013.0
Auto4.2
Teleop5.7
End3.0
red by 2.9
9900
#47
10.10.0
10.110.1
Auto2.7
Teleop4.8
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket odds2%Rocket odds
HAB Docking
64%HAB Docking odds59%HAB Docking odds