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Red44
694013.3
700614.1
911410.1
Blue36
676610.4
910810.1
560210.1
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions403202060804436

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7006
#21
14.10.0
14.114.1
Auto3.8
Teleop6.8
End3.5
red by 3.8
6766
#52
10.40.0
10.410.4
Auto3.5
Teleop5.0
End1.9
Second
6940
#12
13.30.0
13.313.3
Auto4.6
Teleop7.2
End1.6
red by 3.2
5602
#43
10.10.0
10.110.1
Auto2.7
Teleop4.8
End2.5
Third
10.10.0
10.110.1
Auto2.7
Teleop4.8
End2.5
Level
9108
#66
10.10.0
10.110.1
Auto2.7
Teleop4.8
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket odds2%Rocket odds
HAB Docking
24%HAB Docking odds23%HAB Docking odds