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Final 22020 Arkansas Regional
Red103
393763.1
395947.1
172339.3
Blue178
408760.8
1669.3
457640.2
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions168194100150250300350103178

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3937
#17
63.11.5
64.6→63.1
Auto17.8
Teleop22.8
End22.5
blue by 6.2
16
#3
69.30.2
69.5→69.3
Auto21.0
Teleop25.2
End23.1
Second
3959
#1
47.11.5
48.7→47.1
Auto16.8
Teleop6.5
End23.8
blue by 13.6
4087
#9
60.80.2
61.0→60.8
Auto19.6
Teleop19.4
End21.8
Third
1723
#30
39.31.5
40.8→39.3
Auto13.5
Teleop4.5
End21.3
blue by 0.9
4576
#19
40.20.2
40.4→40.2
Auto12.3
Teleop15.7
End12.2