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Quarterfinal 3-22020 Arkansas Regional
Red129
299247.6
433639.3
191233.9
Blue100
303939.1
142141.9
664033.4
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13613050100150200129100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2992
#6
47.60.2
47.7→47.9
Auto12.7
Teleop9.9
End25.0
red by 5.6
1421
#8
41.91.0
42.9→41.9
Auto17.6
Teleop6.4
End17.9
Second
4336
#2
39.30.2
39.4→39.6
Auto14.4
Teleop8.7
End16.2
red by 0.2
3039
#15
39.11.0
40.1→39.1
Auto16.0
Teleop19.9
End3.2
Third
1912
#38
33.90.2
34.1→34.3
Auto16.4
Teleop5.5
End12.0
red by 0.5
6640
#11
33.41.0
34.4→33.4
Auto9.6
Teleop1.9
End21.9