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Quarterfinal 4-22020 Arkansas Regional
Red236
408760.8
1669.3
457640.2
Blue131
239345.5
556832.0
685540.1
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17712250100150200250236131

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16
#3
69.32.5
63.3→65.8
Auto21.0
Teleop25.2
End23.1
red by 23.8
2393
#27
45.50.4
45.1→45.5
Auto15.9
Teleop10.6
End19.0
Second
4087
#9
60.82.5
54.8→57.3
Auto19.6
Teleop19.4
End21.8
red by 20.7
6855
#12
40.10.4
39.7→40.1
Auto13.7
Teleop6.5
End19.8
Third
4576
#19
40.22.5
34.2→36.7
Auto12.3
Teleop15.7
End12.2
red by 8.2
5568
#7
32.00.4
31.6→32.0
Auto10.3
Teleop5.6
End16.1