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Qual 102020 Arkansas Regional
Red112
463547.1
408760.8
77668.1
Blue5
804315.1
545422.9
787818.9
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1005101502001125

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4087
#9
60.83.1
30.1→33.2
Auto19.6
Teleop19.4
End21.8
red by 37.9
5454
#36
22.95.2
21.7→16.5
Auto8.4
Teleop2.3
End12.1
Second
4635
#5
47.12.1
37.4→39.5
Auto14.7
Teleop18.5
End13.9
red by 28.2
7878
#49
18.95.2
11.7→6.5
Auto5.1
Teleop3.2
End10.7
Third
7766
#46
8.13.1
16.5→19.6
Auto4.5
Teleop0.3
End3.2
blue by 7.1
8043
#53
15.12.1
15.1→13.1
Auto5.4
Teleop3.5
End6.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Shield Energized
0%Shield Energized oddsMissed0%Shield Energized oddsMissed
Shield Operational
9%Shield Operational oddsMissed12%Shield Operational oddsMissed