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Qual 512020 Arkansas Regional
Red141
457640.2
545422.9
596524.6
Blue99
790826.7
433639.3
396632.5
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8075406010012014014199

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4576
#19
40.26.1
29.4→35.5
Auto12.3
Teleop15.7
End12.2
red by 0.9
4336
#2
39.33.5
29.1→32.6
Auto14.4
Teleop8.7
End16.2
Second
5965
#20
24.66.1
22.1→28.2
Auto7.7
Teleop3.6
End13.3
blue by 7.9
3966
#33
32.53.5
20.1→23.5
Auto15.4
Teleop7.0
End10.1
Third
5454
#36
22.96.1
19.5→25.6
Auto8.4
Teleop2.3
End12.1
blue by 3.8
7908
#26
26.73.5
18.7→22.2
Auto6.1
Teleop6.4
End14.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Shield Energized
0%Shield Energized oddsMissed0%Shield Energized oddsMissed
Shield Operational
12%Shield Operational oddsEarned12%Shield Operational oddsMissed