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Qual 632020 Arkansas Regional
Red105
233322.6
191233.9
500634.3
Blue167
408760.8
433639.3
313924.0
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions90118050150200250105167

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5006
#10
34.30.7
29.5→30.2
Auto11.1
Teleop7.7
End15.5
blue by 26.4
4087
#9
60.85.2
43.6→48.8
Auto19.6
Teleop19.4
End21.8
Second
1912
#38
33.90.7
27.3→28.0
Auto16.4
Teleop5.5
End12.0
blue by 5.3
4336
#2
39.35.2
32.6→37.7
Auto14.4
Teleop8.7
End16.2
Third
2333
#34
22.60.7
27.1→27.8
Auto14.3
Teleop4.1
End4.3
blue by 1.4
3139
#25
24.05.2
26.3→31.5
Auto11.6
Teleop5.9
End6.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Shield Energized
0%Shield Energized oddsMissed0%Shield Energized oddsMissed
Shield Operational
15%Shield Operational oddsMissed13%Shield Operational oddsEarned