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Semifinal 1-12020 Arkansas Regional
Red200
393763.1
395947.1
172339.3
Blue139
501342.6
53735.1
605541.4
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16612950100150200250200139

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3937
#17
63.11.2
61.3→62.5
Auto17.8
Teleop22.8
End22.5
red by 20.4
5013
#18
42.60.5
43.0→43.4
Auto13.9
Teleop11.2
End17.6
Second
3959
#1
47.11.2
45.4→46.6
Auto16.8
Teleop6.5
End23.8
red by 5.7
6055
#14
41.40.5
41.8→42.2
Auto15.4
Teleop7.2
End18.8
Third
1723
#30
39.31.2
37.5→38.7
Auto13.5
Teleop4.5
End21.3
red by 4.2
537
#4
35.10.5
35.4→35.9
Auto15.3
Teleop7.7
End12.1