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Red39
300811.9
778117.9
72879.9
Blue97
433429.7
719044.2
713519.5
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5410001502003997

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7781
#40
17.93.3
24.721.4
Auto4.8
Teleop4.5
End8.6
blue by 26.3
44.20.2
25.625.4
Auto10.7
Teleop9.1
End24.5
Second
3008
#37
11.93.3
13.29.9
Auto5.4
Teleop3.0
End3.4
blue by 17.9
4334
#15
29.70.2
35.935.7
Auto12.6
Teleop6.3
End10.8
Third
7287
#21
9.93.3
15.912.6
Auto5.0
Teleop0.1
End4.8
blue by 9.6
7135
#19
19.50.2
22.422.1
Auto6.5
Teleop5.0
End8.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Shield Energized
0%Shield Energized oddsMissed0%Shield Energized oddsMissed
Shield Operational
10%Shield Operational oddsMissed15%Shield Operational oddsMissed