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Red147
359840.6
749877.8
648611.8
Blue90
501546.7
427039.5
325627.5
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1401285010020025014790

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
77.80.2
75.876.0
Auto17.1
Teleop30.0
End30.7
red by 31.2
46.70.6
47.546.8
Auto14.1
Teleop12.9
End19.7
Second
40.60.2
38.638.8
Auto14.2
Teleop7.2
End19.2
red by 1.1
39.50.6
40.339.7
Auto8.8
Teleop10.5
End20.2
Third
6486
#31
11.80.2
9.79.9
Auto5.3
Teleop4.7
End1.8
blue by 15.8
3256
#25
27.50.6
28.227.7
Auto7.3
Teleop12.7
End7.5