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Red132
325548.4
294544.0
670444.6
Blue141
519947.8
585140.8
248533.7
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15213050100200250132141

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3255
#12
48.40.5
47.346.8
Auto14.0
Teleop14.8
End19.7
red by 0.6
47.80.6
46.747.3
Auto9.6
Teleop10.5
End27.6
Second
6704
#26
44.60.5
43.643.1
Auto14.1
Teleop2.4
End28.1
red by 3.9
40.80.6
39.740.3
Auto8.0
Teleop7.0
End25.7
Third
44.00.5
43.042.5
Auto12.8
Teleop5.1
End26.2
red by 10.3
2485
#38
33.70.6
32.633.2
Auto10.3
Teleop5.5
End17.8