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Red148
325548.4
294544.0
670444.6
Blue147
519947.8
585140.8
248533.7
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15413450100200250148147

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3255
#12
48.40.4
48.048.4
Auto14.0
Teleop14.8
End19.7
red by 0.6
47.80.2
47.947.8
Auto9.6
Teleop10.5
End27.6
Second
6704
#26
44.60.4
44.344.6
Auto14.1
Teleop2.4
End28.1
red by 3.9
40.80.2
40.940.8
Auto8.0
Teleop7.0
End25.7
Third
44.00.4
43.744.0
Auto12.8
Teleop5.1
End26.2
red by 10.3
2485
#38
33.70.2
33.833.7
Auto10.3
Teleop5.5
End17.8