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Quarterfinal 4-12020 Del Mar Regional
Red120
265839.0
469843.4
669523.7
Blue170
388240.2
704240.3
385939.3
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions111141050200250300120170

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4698
#4
43.40.5
42.4→42.9
Auto14.7
Teleop11.1
End17.7
red by 3.1
7042
#9
40.31.4
41.3→42.7
Auto7.9
Teleop4.6
End27.8
Second
2658
#5
39.00.5
38.0→38.5
Auto14.6
Teleop9.2
End15.2
blue by 1.2
3882
#13
40.21.4
41.3→42.7
Auto18.3
Teleop11.6
End10.3
Third
6695
#20
23.70.5
22.8→23.3
Auto10.4
Teleop3.3
End10.0
blue by 15.5
3859
#19
39.31.4
40.3→41.7
Auto12.8
Teleop12.3
End14.1