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Red205
98775.8
420171.3
600024.3
Blue140
512449.7
119747.9
257625.1
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions19812550100150250300205140

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
987
#2
75.81.0
74.975.8
Auto22.3
Teleop31.7
End21.9
red by 26.1
5124
#19
49.70.5
49.249.7
Auto15.8
Teleop18.5
End15.4
Second
71.30.9
70.471.3
Auto22.1
Teleop25.2
End23.9
red by 23.4
47.90.5
47.447.9
Auto16.4
Teleop10.1
End21.4
Third
6000
#21
24.31.0
23.324.3
Auto9.5
Teleop5.7
End9.1
blue by 0.9
2576
#17
25.10.5
24.625.1
Auto9.1
Teleop4.9
End11.2